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Weekly · · 1 min read

Matches week of 5 October 2026

The matches with the most expected goals in the top five European leagues, from 5 October to 11 October.

Good to know: early in the season xG rests on only a few games, so it’s less reliable than it will be later. Think of it as a snapshot of how every team has played so far: who’s been lucky, who’s been unlucky, and who’s simply been good (or not).

Top of the list this week: Rennes v Auxerre, with 4.65 expected goals in the match.

Matches week of 5 October 2026. Free subscribers see top 10 matches. Paid subscribers see every match in all top 5 European leagues.

RankHome teamAway teamLeagueHome xGAway xGMatch xG
1Rennes2Auxerre2Ligue 13.151.504.65
2Como1Roma2Serie A2.142.174.31
3Freiburg2Schalke 042Bundesliga2.791.464.25

No tips, no guarantees, just the numbers.

Made with love for the beautiful game, in Denmark 🇩🇰

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